Global Mail Archive
This is where you can find all of our Global Mail articles from Ivan Martchev.
8-11-26: Last Week’s Market Rallied As if the Iran War Were Over
by Ivan Martchev August 11, 2026 The large weekly surge by NASDAQ (+5.2%) and the S&P 500 (+3.6%) last week sure feels like the way the market would move after the end [...]
8-4-26: When Bonds Revolt Against the Fed
by Ivan Martchev August 4, 2026 News of a highly leveraged hedge fund focused on AI blowing up rattled markets last week. The fund, operating under the curious name of Situational Awareness, [...]
7-28-26: Will Oil at (or near) $100 Generate a “Diplomatic Offramp”?
by Ivan Martchev July 28, 2026 We got within $6.50 of $100 per barrel for WTI crude oil last Thursday. Triple-digit oil may be as little as a one big daily move [...]
7-21-26: The Stock Market is Not Ready for $100 Oil
by Ivan Martchev July 21, 2026 It looks like the Iranian situation is going from bad to worse. As of the time of this writing (Sunday), military strikes are intensifying on all [...]
7-7-26: This Tech Rotation is as Bad as it Gets
by Ivan Martchev July 7, 2026 When it comes to the violent rotation out of technology that started in June, early July did not bring any relief. In fact, if we must [...]
6-30-26: The Revenge of the 493
by Ivan Martchev June 30, 2026 The S&P 500 Index has 500-components, but being weighted by size (market capitalization), it is a terribly-lopsided index, in which the top 10-components – the top [...]
6-23-26: A Round-Trip Ride in Space Exploration Stocks
by Ivan Martchev June 23, 2026 As of last Friday, after five full trading days, Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX) began to trade inside the range of its first trading day. To recap, [...]
6-16-26: This Market Looks Like a “Best-Case Scenario”
by Ivan Martchev June 16, 2026 The Trump administration went from bombing threats last week to, for lack of a better term, hope: “We are about to sign the truce papers this [...]
6-9-26: Friday’s Sell-off Was Bound to Happen – What’s Next?
by Ivan Martchev June 9, 2026 “Told you so” does not work in financial markets. Nobody knows ahead of time the precise date when an index will top out, or the precise [...]
6-2-26: What’s Behind This Late Cycle Acceleration?
by Ivan Martchev June 2, 2026 Perhaps the best explanation for this historic rip higher was simply great earnings. According to FactSet, which tracks those numbers closely, “For Q1 2026 (with 97% [...]
5-27-26: A Week of Giant IPOs and Chip and Memory Shortages
by Ivan Martchev May 27, 2026 Three-days of selling and a 3.7% decline in the NASDAQ 100 Index is all the correction we got! Given the magnitude and speed of the rally [...]
5-19-26: Quantifying a “Normal” Correction
by Ivan Martchev May 19, 2026 I was not surprised to see the NASDAQ 100 Index marginally down last week, given what is going on with crude oil and Treasury yields, which [...]