Quarterly Market Outlook Reports

Each Quarter, our team of portfolio managers meet to discuss the trends of the previous and upcoming quarter. We assemble the trends, the impact to our portfolios and discuss which moves are prudent for the coming weeks and months. And we deliver this analysis to you every three months.

Third Quarter, 2026

The big news is that Nvidia announced a $150 billion share buyback, which is an all-time record. The previous record was a $110 billion share buyback by Apple in 2024. Interestingly, Nvidia has not completed its previously authorized share buyback, so it can now buyback $235 billion of outstanding shares. For trillion dollar companies, it appears that the physics may sometimes impede a stock’s potential appreciation, so these massive stock buyback announcements are a positive development. Nvidia currently trades at 24.6 times forecasted fiscal 2028 earnings, while Apple trades at 38.5 times 2027 forecasted earnings. We stand by our
prediction that Nvidia will hit $300 by the end of this …

Second Quarter, 2026

The second quarter was the best performing quarter for both the NASDAQ Composite and the S&P 500 in the past six years, so expectations remain very high since economic growth is clearly accelerating. Our favorite economist, Ed Yardeni, pointed out that we are in the midst of a FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) market and industry analysts are estimating that the S&P 500 will post 26.1% annual earnings growth for 2026 and 17.8% for 2027.

Since our fundamentally superior stocks are not appreciating as fast as their underlying earnings, price to-earnings (PE) ratios are being compressed. The stock market is expected to remain strong …