Global Mail Archive
6-17-25: No New Highs Until the Middle East Calms Down
by Ivan Martchev June 17, 2025 Having made it within 98 S&P points of a new all-time high last week, this drive to a new high was interrupted by a military escalation [...]
6-10-25: Elon Musk May Have Ulterior Motives
by Ivan Martchev June 10, 2025 Given the spectacular public rift between Elon Musk and President Trump last week – which moved the stock market dramatically down on Thursday – I decided [...]
6-3-25: More Trillion Dollar Swings
by Ivan Martchev June 3, 2025 While the S&P 500 was up 1.88% last week and +6.15% in May, we are still in a trading range, capped at 5,968 on the upside, [...]
5-28-25: A Trillion Dollar Tweet – or Two
by Ivan Martchev May 28, 2025 How much is one point of the S&P 500 Index worth? Most people who do not work in the field of finance would have trouble answering [...]
5-20-25: “Overbought” Can Be a Nebulous Concept
by Ivan Martchev May 20, 2025 Nearly 14-years after Standard and Poor’s downgraded their U.S. credit rating from AAA in August of 2011, Moody’s did so last Friday – also by one [...]
5-13-25: My Take on the Best-Case Market Scenario
by Ivan Martchev May 13, 2025 It seems to me that the higher the market goes, the more bearish investors become, which seems very odd, at the least. If you are bullish, [...]
5-6-25: There is a Path to Fresh All-Time Highs for Stocks
by Ivan Martchev May 6, 2025 We have wiped out all post Liberation Day tariff losses for the time being with the S&P rising nine-straight days through last Friday and in the [...]
4-29-25: The Stock Market is Sniffing Out More Trade Deals
by Ivan Martchev April 29, 2025 It is comical to see how the Chinese twice last week had to deny that they are having any trade talks with the U.S. via their [...]
4-22-25: The Stock Market is in “No Man’s Land”
by Ivan Martchev April 22, 2025 They say the bulls live above the 200-day moving average while bears live below it. This may be true in normal times, but times are anything [...]
4-15-25: Could the Surge in Treasury Yields Be the Market’s “Shot Across the Bow?”
by Ivan Martchev April 15, 2025 It would appear that the bond market is forcing President Trump's hand to walk back the steep tariffs he imposed on April 2nd. Not only did [...]
4-8-25: A High-Stakes Game of Tariff Chicken
by Ivan Martchev April 8, 2025 When I noted last week that the quickest way for President Trump to push the stock market lower, on par with what Jerome Powell did in [...]
4-1-25: Beware of the Auto Tariff Quicksand
by Ivan Martchev April 1, 2025 The expeditious unraveling of the respectable 5% rebound of the S&P 500 Index off the mid-March lows can be primarily linked to one-event, the 25% tariff [...]