Global Mail Archive
5-28-25: A Trillion Dollar Tweet – or Two
by Ivan Martchev May 28, 2025 How much is one point of the S&P 500 Index worth? Most people who do not work in the field of finance would have trouble answering [...]
5-20-25: “Overbought” Can Be a Nebulous Concept
by Ivan Martchev May 20, 2025 Nearly 14-years after Standard and Poor’s downgraded their U.S. credit rating from AAA in August of 2011, Moody’s did so last Friday – also by one [...]
5-13-25: My Take on the Best-Case Market Scenario
by Ivan Martchev May 13, 2025 It seems to me that the higher the market goes, the more bearish investors become, which seems very odd, at the least. If you are bullish, [...]
5-6-25: There is a Path to Fresh All-Time Highs for Stocks
by Ivan Martchev May 6, 2025 We have wiped out all post Liberation Day tariff losses for the time being with the S&P rising nine-straight days through last Friday and in the [...]
4-29-25: The Stock Market is Sniffing Out More Trade Deals
by Ivan Martchev April 29, 2025 It is comical to see how the Chinese twice last week had to deny that they are having any trade talks with the U.S. via their [...]
4-22-25: The Stock Market is in “No Man’s Land”
by Ivan Martchev April 22, 2025 They say the bulls live above the 200-day moving average while bears live below it. This may be true in normal times, but times are anything [...]
4-15-25: Could the Surge in Treasury Yields Be the Market’s “Shot Across the Bow?”
by Ivan Martchev April 15, 2025 It would appear that the bond market is forcing President Trump's hand to walk back the steep tariffs he imposed on April 2nd. Not only did [...]
4-8-25: A High-Stakes Game of Tariff Chicken
by Ivan Martchev April 8, 2025 When I noted last week that the quickest way for President Trump to push the stock market lower, on par with what Jerome Powell did in [...]
4-1-25: Beware of the Auto Tariff Quicksand
by Ivan Martchev April 1, 2025 The expeditious unraveling of the respectable 5% rebound of the S&P 500 Index off the mid-March lows can be primarily linked to one-event, the 25% tariff [...]
3-25-25: Some Bottoming Action in the Stock Market is Clearly Evident
by Ivan Martchev March 25, 2025 While last week finally delivered an up-week for the S&P 500, it was clearly messy, which is normal in a bottoming process. I do not believe [...]
3-18-25: The VIX Says Buy Stocks
by Ivan Martchev March 18, 2025 I think the recent decline in the stock market is primarily rotational in nature, and the tariff threats by the Trump administration are mostly just an [...]
3-11-25: U.S. Stocks Are Ripe for a Rebound
by Ivan Martchev March 11, 2025 I don’t believe that the recent three weeks of selling in the S&P 500, after an all-time high in February, is due to interest rates, economic [...]