Global Mail Archive
6-4-24: The Reversal of the Reversal
by Ivan Martchev June 4, 2024 Once again, stocks did not disappoint on Friday as the S&P 500 Index delivered another rare 100 point plus daily range. In fact, based on futures [...]
5-29-24: The Stock Market is Channeling Yogi Berra
by Ivan Martchev May 29, 2024 The legendary baseball catcher Yogi Berra could sure help us out in understanding the current investing environment. He famously said, when giving directions, “When you come [...]
5-21-24: The Big NVIDIA News Arrives Tomorrow
by Ivan Martchev May 21, 2024 Nvidia reports earnings tomorrow, May 22, after the close. It doesn't take a genius to figure out that May 23 will see huge swings in the [...]
5-14-24: The Big Inflation Week Starts Today
by Ivan Martchev May 14, 2024 While oversimplifying any formula in the financial markets tends to backfire more often than not, good inflation numbers tend to deliver new highs for the S&P [...]
5-7-24: It Looks Like That Was “It” for the April Correction
by Ivan Martchev May 7, 2024 I am sure we will have more corrections in 2024, but as far as the April edition is concerned, it appears to be over, with the [...]
4-30-24: The Case of the Disappearing Rate Cuts
by Ivan Martchev April 30, 2024 Two weeks ago, Fed Chair Jerome Powell let it be known that he had no confidence to cut rates with the present data, and last week's [...]
4-23-24: It Looks Like Some Middle East Missiles are Pure Theater
by Ivan Martchev April 23, 2024 Although it looked pretty worrisome for a couple of weeks, it appears that the Iranians decided to strike Israel with some mostly low-tech drones and missiles, [...]
4-16-24: Possible Rising Recriminations Face the Stock Market
by Ivan Martchev April 16, 2024 Nobody can predict if the cycle of acrimonious recriminations between Israel and Iran will stop this week – after the Iranian retaliation for the destroyed Damascus [...]
4-9-24: With 10-Year Treasuries At 4.4%, How High is Too High?
by Ivan Martchev April 9, 2024 Right about the present level of the 10-year Treasury yield (4.4% as of Friday’s close) the stock market began to feel pressure last summer. That pressure [...]
4-2-24: Stocks Are Partying Like It is 1995
by Ivan Martchev April 2, 2024 The way the first quarter went, with brief and very shallow pullbacks, one would think that stocks are partying like it is 1995. While it is [...]
3-26-24: If the Fed Plans to Cut Rates, Then Why is the Dollar Firm?
by Ivan Martchev March 26, 2024 Something does not compute with the dollar. It is showing bottoming-action, delivering another “golden cross” – a situation where the 50-day moving average crosses the 200-day [...]
3-19-24: The Rotation into the Broad Market Accelerates
by Ivan Martchev March 19, 2024 When I included the chart below a mere three weeks ago, the year-to-date performance numbers for the S&P 500 Equal Weight index and the S&P 500 [...]