Global Mail Archive
12-31-24: 2024 Was Great, But What About 2025?
by Ivan Martchev December 31, 2024 It looks like we made the high on the S&P 500 a few ticks below 6,100 on December 6th, but then rising bond yields – which [...]
12-24-24: Jerome Powell was a Party Pooper – Once Again
by Ivan Martchev December 24, 2024 My sneaking suspicion – that the Treasury market needed to cooperate in order for the stock market to have a strong finish to the year – [...]
12-17-24: Bonds Need to Play Ball for Stocks to Keep Rising
by Ivan Martchev December 17, 2024 The rather sharp rise in Treasury yields last week pressured the broad market, resulting in a down week, even though the Nasdaq 100 index did manage [...]
12-10-24: The Stock Market Glass Looks Half Full
by Ivan Martchev December 10, 2024 If my math is correct, starting today (and including a half-day on Christmas Eve), we have just 15 trading days until the end of the year. [...]
12-3-24: The Biggest Move Last Week Was in Bonds
by Ivan Martchev December 3, 2024 The best way to describe the huge swing in Treasury yields last week was a sigh of relief. The decline in long-term Treasury rates was mostly [...]
11-26-24: Shortened Trading Weeks Tend to be Positive
by Ivan Martchev November 26, 2024 There are only three full trading days this week. We are off on Thursday for Thanksgiving and back on Friday for half a day. On short [...]
11-19-24: Something Else is Worrying the Market
by Ivan Martchev November 19, 2024 I have to admit that I expected better retention of the post-election gains, which actually started the week before the election. If you bought at the [...]
11-12-24: What the Post-Election Collapse in Volatility Means
by Ivan Martchev November 12, 2024 A clear win by Donald Trump is a definite positive for the markets, as the feared “hung election” scenario was swiftly priced out of the market. [...]
11-5-24: The Big Election Week is Finally Here
by Ivan Martchev November 5, 2024 By the time most of you read this – Tuesday morning most likely – we still won't know who will be the next president, which will [...]
10-29-24: Have Stocks (Finally) Begun to Notice Bonds?
by Ivan Martchev October 29, 2024 There has been a huge move in Treasury yields, from 3.60% to 4.25%, in a relatively short period of time. I don't believe this recent spike [...]
10-22-24: It’s Groundhog Day (Again) in the Stock Market
by Ivan Martchev October 22, 2024 The stock market is acting like the weatherman (played by Bill Murray) in the movie “Groundhog Day.” He is covering the annual Groundhog Day event in [...]
10-15-24: We’re Seeing Some Seasonality in Reverse
by Ivan Martchev October 15, 2024 Another week and another all-time high in the S&P 500 and Dow Industrials make investors wonder what has happened to the negative seasonality that is supposed [...]