Global Mail Archive
9-3-25: The President’s Misguided Assault on the Federal Reserve
by Ivan Martchev September 3, 2025 It seems to me that the Trump administration – mainly the President himself – views the Federal Reserve like the Supreme Court. The more appointees he [...]
8-26-25: The S&P 500 Could Tag 6600 this Week
by Ivan Martchev August 26, 2025 We closed last Friday just a few points from the all-time high in the S&P 500 of 6,481. The violence of that move that day shows [...]
8-12-25: Last Week’s “Reversal of the Reversal”
by Ivan Martchev August 12, 2025 Last week, I wrote about the trading range on July 31 and August 1, which became so volatile that it covered the whole trading range of [...]
8-5-25: A Sudden “Four Standard Deviation Move” In the S&P 500
by Ivan Martchev August 5, 2025 Standard deviation bands, better known as Bollinger bands, typically show an area that is two-standard deviations to the upside and downside around a 20-day moving average [...]
7-22-25: Too Many Irons Remain in the Trade War Fire
by Ivan Martchev July 22, 2025 I grow suspicious when the stock market makes a new all-time high one day and then immediately sells off later that same day or on the [...]
7-15-25: We’re Waiting on More Tariff Escalation to Come
by Ivan Martchev July 15, 2025 In the next two weeks, I expect we’ll see a lot of tariff headlines, with both good and bad news. It appears that the current threat [...]
7-8-25: The S&P Is Flying High, Like Icarus
by Ivan Martchev July 8, 2025 The S&P 500 is up 5.2% in the last two weeks. I have seen the S&P rise more than 5% in a single week, but typically [...]
7-1-25: A Fresh All-Time High for the Record Books
by Ivan Martchev July 1, 2025 There is nothing like the conclusion of a fierce Middle Eastern aerial battle and the end of the second quarter reporting period to turbocharge the stock [...]
6-24-25: Should We Beware the Coming “Golden Cross”?
by Ivan Martchev June 24, 2025 Given that the Iran-Israel conflict is on Day #10 (as of this writing), I am surprised to see no meaningful downside in the stock market during [...]
6-17-25: No New Highs Until the Middle East Calms Down
by Ivan Martchev June 17, 2025 Having made it within 98 S&P points of a new all-time high last week, this drive to a new high was interrupted by a military escalation [...]
6-10-25: Elon Musk May Have Ulterior Motives
by Ivan Martchev June 10, 2025 Given the spectacular public rift between Elon Musk and President Trump last week – which moved the stock market dramatically down on Thursday – I decided [...]
6-3-25: More Trillion Dollar Swings
by Ivan Martchev June 3, 2025 While the S&P 500 was up 1.88% last week and +6.15% in May, we are still in a trading range, capped at 5,968 on the upside, [...]