Global Mail Archive
10-14-25: Two Tweets Totaling $2-Trillion (aka, “The Sun Tzu Sell-Off”)
by Ivan Martchev October 14, 2025 For most of the last six-months, it was kind of nice to not see aggressive presidential tweets in the middle of the trading day, but the [...]
10-7-25: We’re Seeing “Toppy” Action Without Conviction
by Ivan Martchev October 7, 2025 On both Thursday and Friday, October 2-3, the S&P 500 set fresh all-time highs, and on both days the index closed below where it opened. This [...]
9-30-25: A Quarter-Ending Ramp-Up Is Likely
by Ivan Martchev September 30, 2025 Today, September 30, is when the third-quarter ends. Investors typically celebrate that event by pushing stock prices up at the end of the quarter. Just go [...]
9-23-25: We’re In “Thin-Air” Territory in the U.S. Stock Market
by Ivan Martchev September 23, 2025 In trading lingo, there are plenty of common sense sayings that need to be respected. “The trend is your friend” is one of the more common [...]
9-16-25: S&P 6600.21
by Ivan Martchev September 16, 2025 Another all-time high a fraction of a point above 6600 and another weak Friday close for the S&P 500. Last Friday it was only marginally negative, [...]
9-9-25: What September’s Low Market Volatility Means
by Ivan Martchev September 9, 2025 I have explained Bollinger bands before. They are a type of statistical indicator that places two bands – each measuring two standard deviations – around a [...]
9-3-25: The President’s Misguided Assault on the Federal Reserve
by Ivan Martchev September 3, 2025 It seems to me that the Trump administration – mainly the President himself – views the Federal Reserve like the Supreme Court. The more appointees he [...]
8-26-25: The S&P 500 Could Tag 6600 this Week
by Ivan Martchev August 26, 2025 We closed last Friday just a few points from the all-time high in the S&P 500 of 6,481. The violence of that move that day shows [...]
8-12-25: Last Week’s “Reversal of the Reversal”
by Ivan Martchev August 12, 2025 Last week, I wrote about the trading range on July 31 and August 1, which became so volatile that it covered the whole trading range of [...]
8-5-25: A Sudden “Four Standard Deviation Move” In the S&P 500
by Ivan Martchev August 5, 2025 Standard deviation bands, better known as Bollinger bands, typically show an area that is two-standard deviations to the upside and downside around a 20-day moving average [...]
7-22-25: Too Many Irons Remain in the Trade War Fire
by Ivan Martchev July 22, 2025 I grow suspicious when the stock market makes a new all-time high one day and then immediately sells off later that same day or on the [...]
7-15-25: We’re Waiting on More Tariff Escalation to Come
by Ivan Martchev July 15, 2025 In the next two weeks, I expect we’ll see a lot of tariff headlines, with both good and bad news. It appears that the current threat [...]