Global Mail Archive
This is where you can find all of our Global Mail articles from Ivan Martchev.
6-9-26: Friday’s Sell-off Was Bound to Happen – What’s Next?
by Ivan Martchev June 9, 2026 “Told you so” does not work in financial markets. Nobody knows ahead of time the precise date when an index will top out, or the precise [...]
6-2-26: What’s Behind This Late Cycle Acceleration?
by Ivan Martchev June 2, 2026 Perhaps the best explanation for this historic rip higher was simply great earnings. According to FactSet, which tracks those numbers closely, “For Q1 2026 (with 97% [...]
5-27-26: A Week of Giant IPOs and Chip and Memory Shortages
by Ivan Martchev May 27, 2026 Three-days of selling and a 3.7% decline in the NASDAQ 100 Index is all the correction we got! Given the magnitude and speed of the rally [...]
5-19-26: Quantifying a “Normal” Correction
by Ivan Martchev May 19, 2026 I was not surprised to see the NASDAQ 100 Index marginally down last week, given what is going on with crude oil and Treasury yields, which [...]
5-12-26: Political Considerations Before the Trump-Xi Summit
by Ivan Martchev May 12, 2026 It is clear the U.S. does not want to restart any Iran hostilities in earnest, since we are only days away from the scheduled May 14-15 [...]
5-5-26: The Stock Market Has Assumed the Iran War is Over
by Ivan Martchev May 5, 2026 On April 7, when a truce was announced – or even a week earlier, when the market began to anticipate the coming truce – the market [...]
4-28-26: Is April the Cruelest Month?
by Ivan Martchev April 28, 2026 April is not over, but we are already close to a 13% rise in the S&P 500 since March 30, closing Friday at a new all-time [...]
4-21-26: Stocks Try to Fly like Icarus
by Ivan Martchev April 21, 2026 After hitting an all-time high on the S&P 500 on Friday (before Iranians shot at a tanker in the Strait of Hormuz), we have an opportunity [...]
4-14-26: This Ceasefire is Starting to Look Like a Failing Truce
by Ivan Martchev April 14, 2026 When it comes to the stock market, investors decided to run with the best-case scenario on news of talks between the Trump administration and Iran in [...]
4-7-26: Investors Hope for the Best, but are they Prepared for the Worst?
by Ivan Martchev April 7, 2026 If you told me WTI crude oil futures would rise 11.4% last Thursday, up $11.42, to $111.54, I would have guessed the S&P 500 would have [...]
3-31-26: One Cannot Print (or Tweet) Crude Oil
by Ivan Martchev March 31, 2026 Last week’s high in S&P futures was set just about the time of the Monday morning post from President Trump, saying he was giving Iran a [...]
3-24-26: A “Force Majeure” in LNG Has Been Triggered
by Ivan Martchev March 24, 2026 According to mainstream dictionaries (via Google’s Gemini), “Force Majeure” is a contractual clause freeing parties from liability when extraordinary, unforeseeable events—like natural disasters, war, or pandemics—make [...]