Global Mail Archive
4-7-26: Investors Hope for the Best, but are they Prepared for the Worst?
by Ivan Martchev April 7, 2026 If you told me WTI crude oil futures would rise 11.4% last Thursday, up $11.42, to $111.54, I would have guessed the S&P 500 would have [...]
3-31-26: One Cannot Print (or Tweet) Crude Oil
by Ivan Martchev March 31, 2026 Last week’s high in S&P futures was set just about the time of the Monday morning post from President Trump, saying he was giving Iran a [...]
3-24-26: A “Force Majeure” in LNG Has Been Triggered
by Ivan Martchev March 24, 2026 According to mainstream dictionaries (via Google’s Gemini), “Force Majeure” is a contractual clause freeing parties from liability when extraordinary, unforeseeable events—like natural disasters, war, or pandemics—make [...]
3-17-26: The Longer the War, the Worse the Economic Impact
by Ivan Martchev March 17, 2026 I have stated previously this kinetic war is similar (so far) in economic impact to the trade war threat last April. Cost prohibitive tariffs caused a [...]
3-10-26: When Oil Reverses, the Stock Market Will Bottom
by Ivan Martchev March 10, 2026 In a good economy, we have started a market decline that is, at a minimum, headed into the area of the S&P 500’s 200-day moving average, [...]
3-3-26: The Iran War Begins, But Where Will It End?
by Ivan Martchev March 3, 2026 I am writing this on Sunday, before the futures market opens at 6 pm, but I expect the opening to be quite dramatic, although – to [...]
2-24-26: A “Tariff-ic” Week for the Stock Market
by Ivan Martchev February 24, 2026 Contrary to hasty reporting by many media outlets on Friday – after the Supreme Court ruling on the Trump administration’s use of International Economic Emergency Powers [...]
2-18-26: The NASDAQ 100’s Gravitational Pull
by Ivan Martchev February 18, 2026 In Star Wars: A New Hope, the legendary smuggler Han Solo, piloting his Millenium Falcon, gets pulled into the Death Star via its tractor-beam as he [...]
2-10-26: The Iranian Issue Is Far from Resolved
by Ivan Martchev February 10, 2026 If you went on a tropical island vacation last week – to one of those places with no phones or internet – and you got completely [...]
2-3-26: The Stock Market is Worried about Iran
by Ivan Martchev February 3, 2026 The stock market is concerned about war in Iran – and this concern is not limited to stocks. Crude oil, the most important global commodity, rose [...]
1-27-26: Unintended Consequences (and Fed Chair Announcement) Alert
by Ivan Martchev January 27, 2026 I thought a sell-off would come if the Supreme Court did not agree with the administration’s assertion of authority to impose tariffs at will, but I [...]
1-21-26: The Great Rotation Continues
by Ivan Martchev January 21, 2026 Looking at the raw numbers, the S&P 500 Index was marginally down last week (-0.38%), but if you look at the same index with the components [...]