Global Mail Archive
This is where you can find all of our Global Mail articles from Ivan Martchev.
9-22-26: Most Markets Expect More Rate Hikes
by Ivan Martchev September 22, 2026 Be they stocks, bonds or commodities, the financial markets apparently want more of Kevin Warsh. The legendary 2-year Treasury note – where investors tend to estimate [...]
9-15-26: Here Comes the Fed Rate Hike
by Ivan Martchev September 15, 2026 Ten-year Treasury yields reached 5.01% last week and crude oil hit $104.46 last Friday. Although oil did not close over $100 – nor did the 10-year [...]
9-9-26: The President is on a Collision Course with the Fed
by Ivan Martchev September 9, 2026 There isn’t anything new about President Trump complaining about interest rates being too high. He used to constantly harass former Chair Jerome Powell and call him [...]
9-1-26: Why U.S. Investors Should Care About EU Natural Gas Prices
by Ivan Martchev September 1, 2026 Not many investors keep track of EU natural gas prices, even though they should, because the EU benchmark contract just hit 66.47-euros per megawatt (MWh). While [...]
8-25-26: Secretary Bessent’s Act of Desperation
by Ivan Martchev August 25, 2026 The U.S. Treasury Department, not the Federal Reserve, intervened last week in the Treasury market to maintain orderly trading in long-term bonds (read: “trying to push [...]
8-18-26: The Global Bond Boomerang Effect
by Ivan Martchev August 18, 2026 The stock market made yet another fresh all-time high last week and will probably deliver more gains if the Iran war gets closure, which unfortunately does [...]
8-11-26: Last Week’s Market Rallied As if the Iran War Were Over
by Ivan Martchev August 11, 2026 The large weekly surge by NASDAQ (+5.2%) and the S&P 500 (+3.6%) last week sure feels like the way the market would move after the end [...]
8-4-26: When Bonds Revolt Against the Fed
by Ivan Martchev August 4, 2026 News of a highly leveraged hedge fund focused on AI blowing up rattled markets last week. The fund, operating under the curious name of Situational Awareness, [...]
7-28-26: Will Oil at (or near) $100 Generate a “Diplomatic Offramp”?
by Ivan Martchev July 28, 2026 We got within $6.50 of $100 per barrel for WTI crude oil last Thursday. Triple-digit oil may be as little as a one big daily move [...]
7-21-26: The Stock Market is Not Ready for $100 Oil
by Ivan Martchev July 21, 2026 It looks like the Iranian situation is going from bad to worse. As of the time of this writing (Sunday), military strikes are intensifying on all [...]
7-7-26: This Tech Rotation is as Bad as it Gets
by Ivan Martchev July 7, 2026 When it comes to the violent rotation out of technology that started in June, early July did not bring any relief. In fact, if we must [...]
6-30-26: The Revenge of the 493
by Ivan Martchev June 30, 2026 The S&P 500 Index has 500-components, but being weighted by size (market capitalization), it is a terribly-lopsided index, in which the top 10-components – the top [...]