Global Mail Archive
11-25-25: If Bitcoin Cooperates, We May See a Bottom for Stocks
by Ivan Martchev November 25, 2025 Readers of this column know that I don’t like Bitcoin. If I did not like it at $1,000, I sure don’t like it at $125,000, and [...]
11-18-25: Rotation Alone Does Not Explain Recent Market Volatility
by Ivan Martchev November 18, 2025 Last week, I witnessed something that I had not seen much this year – three-days of vicious rotations out of the technology sector, culminating in a [...]
11-11-25: The Pullback is Over, If….
by Ivan Martchev November 11, 2025 The S&P’s recent 4.2% decline was the kind of pullback I expected, a little larger than any pullback since late April, when the market began to [...]
11-4-25: Geopolitics are About to Come to the Fore in the Next Two Weeks
by Ivan Martchev November 4, 2025 The Wall Street Journal ran a story last Thursday entitled, “U.S. Eyes Striking Venezuelan Military Targets Used for Drug Trafficking,” implying that such strikes against that [...]
10-28-25: Market Sets New Highs, After No “Trillion Dollar Tweets”
by Ivan Martchev October 28, 2025 I’ve been writing about the power of presidential tweets over the last two-weeks. While technically not a tweet, there was a move similar in magnitude to [...]
10-21-25: Will We See Any More “Trillion Dollar Tweets?”
by Ivan Martchev October 21, 2025 Every day since that dreadful tweet on Friday October 10, which caused the S&P 500 to lose 182.60-points, we have seen huge daily ranges of over [...]
10-14-25: Two Tweets Totaling $2-Trillion (aka, “The Sun Tzu Sell-Off”)
by Ivan Martchev October 14, 2025 For most of the last six-months, it was kind of nice to not see aggressive presidential tweets in the middle of the trading day, but the [...]
10-7-25: We’re Seeing “Toppy” Action Without Conviction
by Ivan Martchev October 7, 2025 On both Thursday and Friday, October 2-3, the S&P 500 set fresh all-time highs, and on both days the index closed below where it opened. This [...]
9-30-25: A Quarter-Ending Ramp-Up Is Likely
by Ivan Martchev September 30, 2025 Today, September 30, is when the third-quarter ends. Investors typically celebrate that event by pushing stock prices up at the end of the quarter. Just go [...]
9-23-25: We’re In “Thin-Air” Territory in the U.S. Stock Market
by Ivan Martchev September 23, 2025 In trading lingo, there are plenty of common sense sayings that need to be respected. “The trend is your friend” is one of the more common [...]
9-16-25: S&P 6600.21
by Ivan Martchev September 16, 2025 Another all-time high a fraction of a point above 6600 and another weak Friday close for the S&P 500. Last Friday it was only marginally negative, [...]
9-9-25: What September’s Low Market Volatility Means
by Ivan Martchev September 9, 2025 I have explained Bollinger bands before. They are a type of statistical indicator that places two bands – each measuring two standard deviations – around a [...]