Global Mail Archive
3-10-26: When Oil Reverses, the Stock Market Will Bottom
by Ivan Martchev March 10, 2026 In a good economy, we have started a market decline that is, at a minimum, headed into the area of the S&P 500’s 200-day moving average, [...]
3-3-26: The Iran War Begins, But Where Will It End?
by Ivan Martchev March 3, 2026 I am writing this on Sunday, before the futures market opens at 6 pm, but I expect the opening to be quite dramatic, although – to [...]
2-24-26: A “Tariff-ic” Week for the Stock Market
by Ivan Martchev February 24, 2026 Contrary to hasty reporting by many media outlets on Friday – after the Supreme Court ruling on the Trump administration’s use of International Economic Emergency Powers [...]
2-18-26: The NASDAQ 100’s Gravitational Pull
by Ivan Martchev February 18, 2026 In Star Wars: A New Hope, the legendary smuggler Han Solo, piloting his Millenium Falcon, gets pulled into the Death Star via its tractor-beam as he [...]
2-10-26: The Iranian Issue Is Far from Resolved
by Ivan Martchev February 10, 2026 If you went on a tropical island vacation last week – to one of those places with no phones or internet – and you got completely [...]
2-3-26: The Stock Market is Worried about Iran
by Ivan Martchev February 3, 2026 The stock market is concerned about war in Iran – and this concern is not limited to stocks. Crude oil, the most important global commodity, rose [...]
1-27-26: Unintended Consequences (and Fed Chair Announcement) Alert
by Ivan Martchev January 27, 2026 I thought a sell-off would come if the Supreme Court did not agree with the administration’s assertion of authority to impose tariffs at will, but I [...]
1-21-26: The Great Rotation Continues
by Ivan Martchev January 21, 2026 Looking at the raw numbers, the S&P 500 Index was marginally down last week (-0.38%), but if you look at the same index with the components [...]
1-13-26: As the First Week in January Goes, So Goes the Year
by Ivan Martchev January 13, 2026 Decades ago, the saying went “As goes January, so goes the year” but we have increased the speed of information dissemination and the speed of trading, [...]
1-6-26: Talking Markets with ChatGPT
by Ivan Martchev January 6, 2026 While the Dow and the Russell 2000 rose well on the first trading day of 2026, the S&P 500 was flattish, up 13-points (+0.2%) and the [...]
12-30-25: Knocking on the Door of S&P 7000
by Ivan Martchev December 30, 2025 As I am writing this on Sunday, the S&P 500 Index closed last week at 6929.94, just 70-points (1%) away from 7,000. Whether or not we [...]
12-23-25: There is Still Time to Get to S&P 7,000 in 2025
by Ivan Martchev December 23, 2025 While last week was marginally up (+0.1%) for the S&P 500, we had four-down days in a row, ending Thursday, after the S&P 500 declined 180-points [...]