Global Mail Archive
9-26-23: Target for the Correction in Equities is Still the 200-day Moving Average
by Ivan Martchev September 26, 2023 When I drew the neckline on an obviously forming head-and shoulders top here a week ago, I did not know for sure that we would close [...]
9-19-23: Bonds and the Dollar Suggest a Further Correction in Equities
by Ivan Martchev September 19, 2023 When I penned “Wild Cards for September” at the start of this month, bonds surely were on my mind, as I did not expect six months [...]
9-12-23: The Yuan Wild Card Just Got Wilder
by Ivan Martchev September 12, 2023 When I wrote “Wild Cards for September” over the weekend, 9 or 10 days ago – I write these commentaries over the weekend, while most of [...]
9-6-23: Wild Cards for September
by Ivan Martchev September 6, 2023 With a decidedly positive last week of August, many investors are wondering if September would live up to its bad reputation. It does not have to, [...]
8-29-23: The Stock Market Reaches Another Fork in the Road
by Ivan Martchev August 29, 2023 Many investors are wondering if the correction in the U.S. stock market is over. Simply put, we don't know. It can be over if we get [...]
8-22-23: Questions About China Intensify
by Ivan Martchev August 22, 2023 We have seen Chinese real estate and wealth management issues in years past and they never came to a hard landing, but the mere fact that [...]
8-15-23: Watch the Bond Market for Stock Market Clues
by Ivan Martchev August 15, 2023 While we have not made new highs on the 10-year Treasury yield for 2023, closing on Friday at 4.167%, we are too close for comfort on [...]
8-8-23: The Stock Market Sell-off Has Started, Where Could It Get To?
by Ivan Martchev August 8, 2023 It looks like the overly anticipated intermediate-term stock market correction may have started right on schedule in the seasonally questionable August time period, when trading tends [...]
8-1-23: The Last ZIRP Man Standing
by Ivan Martchev August 1, 2023 Zero Interest Rate Policy (ZIRP) and quantitative easing (QE) – the two major unorthodox monetary policies of the last two decades – were both born in [...]
7-25-23: The Broad Market Finds its Pulse
by Ivan Martchev July 25, 2023 The Equally Weighted S&P 500 is now up solidly for the year, while in late May that equally weighted index was down for the year. A [...]
7-18-23: The Stock Market is Acting Tired
By Ivan Martchev July 18, 2023 While we made it to fresh 2023 highs on the back of the good CPI numbers released last week, the stock market averages tended to make [...]
7-11-23: The Short Covering Rally is About to Stall
by Ivan Martchev July 11, 2023 I think we have started an intermediate-term correction, where a good target would be the area of the 50-day moving averages on the S&P 500 or [...]