Global Mail Archive
4-15-25: Could the Surge in Treasury Yields Be the Market’s “Shot Across the Bow?”
by Ivan Martchev April 15, 2025 It would appear that the bond market is forcing President Trump's hand to walk back the steep tariffs he imposed on April 2nd. Not only did [...]
4-8-25: A High-Stakes Game of Tariff Chicken
by Ivan Martchev April 8, 2025 When I noted last week that the quickest way for President Trump to push the stock market lower, on par with what Jerome Powell did in [...]
4-1-25: Beware of the Auto Tariff Quicksand
by Ivan Martchev April 1, 2025 The expeditious unraveling of the respectable 5% rebound of the S&P 500 Index off the mid-March lows can be primarily linked to one-event, the 25% tariff [...]
3-25-25: Some Bottoming Action in the Stock Market is Clearly Evident
by Ivan Martchev March 25, 2025 While last week finally delivered an up-week for the S&P 500, it was clearly messy, which is normal in a bottoming process. I do not believe [...]
3-18-25: The VIX Says Buy Stocks
by Ivan Martchev March 18, 2025 I think the recent decline in the stock market is primarily rotational in nature, and the tariff threats by the Trump administration are mostly just an [...]
3-11-25: U.S. Stocks Are Ripe for a Rebound
by Ivan Martchev March 11, 2025 I don’t believe that the recent three weeks of selling in the S&P 500, after an all-time high in February, is due to interest rates, economic [...]
3-4-25: The Bond Market Is Beginning to Worry (a Little) About the Economy
by Ivan Martchev March 4, 2025 The S&P 500 registered a second down week in a row after hitting an all-time high as recently as February 19th. Even with the all-time high [...]